Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.020730 0.022278 0.023887 0.025684 0.027638 0.029700 0.032043
2026-01-18 0.018160 0.020389 0.022822 0.025684 0.028964 0.032617 0.037003
2026-01-25 0.016547 0.019188 0.022179 0.025834 0.030195 0.035255 0.041602
2026-02-01 0.015135 0.018005 0.021354 0.025573 0.030775 0.037017 0.045133
2026-02-08 0.013925 0.016926 0.020516 0.025156 0.031039 0.038307 0.048056
2026-02-15 0.013027 0.016138 0.019942 0.024976 0.031520 0.039821 0.051276
2026-02-22 0.012218 0.015395 0.019356 0.024708 0.031826 0.041073 0.054169
2026-03-01 0.011546 0.014776 0.018876 0.024523 0.032194 0.042384 0.057173
2026-03-08 0.010952 0.014216 0.018431 0.024341 0.032526 0.043630 0.060122
2026-03-15 0.010508 0.013828 0.018182 0.024393 0.033160 0.045297 0.063731
2026-03-22 0.010046 0.013387 0.017833 0.024277 0.033534 0.046594 0.066855
2026-03-29 0.009643 0.013004 0.017539 0.024212 0.033962 0.047971 0.070151
2026-04-05 0.009285 0.012680 0.017330 0.024284 0.034630 0.049790 0.074332
2026-04-12 0.008932 0.012348 0.017095 0.024307 0.035228 0.051544 0.078541
2026-04-19 0.008644 0.012093 0.016952 0.024452 0.036007 0.053602 0.083356
2026-04-26 0.008265 0.011685 0.016568 0.024208 0.036165 0.054693 0.086653
2026-05-03 0.007872 0.011240 0.016105 0.023816 0.036064 0.055353 0.089255
2026-05-10 0.007567 0.010912 0.015799 0.023647 0.036298 0.056552 0.092831
2026-05-17 0.007261 0.010568 0.015453 0.023395 0.036378 0.057491 0.096002
2026-05-24 0.006995 0.010273 0.015168 0.023222 0.036571 0.058618 0.099563
2026-05-31 0.006746 0.009993 0.014893 0.023050 0.036752 0.059725 0.103147
2026-06-07 0.006563 0.009810 0.014760 0.023099 0.037302 0.061484 0.108037
2026-06-14 0.006355 0.009577 0.014538 0.022990 0.037571 0.062761 0.112097